I’ve been writing about gambling and casino games for over 20 years. And one of my favorite questions is, what casino game has the worst odds?
The casino game that has the worst odds is keno. You measure how good or bad the odds are in a casino game by how big the house edge is. The bigger the house edge, the worse the odds are for the casino gambler. In keno, the house edge varies from casino to casino, but it almost always runs between 25% and 60%. When you have other casino games with a house edge of between 0.3% and 16%, it’s clear that keno offers the worst odds.
Why Are the Odds in Keno So Bad?
Keno is just like a private lottery administered by a casino. It’s all luck. If you’ve ever played in your state lottery, you’re probably already familiar with the basics of how keno works.
Does roulette offer good odds? With a House Edge From 2% Roulette is a traditional game seeping.
In both games, you pick numbers that you hope will be picked at random in a drawing.
The odds against Scotland’s Robert Thornton winning the 2012 UK Darts Open were 250 to 1 before he defeated a string of big names, including Phil Taylor in the final. Defying odds of 11 to 1, an aptly named horse named Upset defeated the famous Man o’ War at the 1919 Sanford Memorial Stakes. The odds of being dealt a natural flush is 650,000 to 1, so even if a $100,000 jackpot looks tempting, it shouldn’t be. Side Bets – also carry a double-digit casino edge. Proposition Bets – Don’t let anyone talk you into things like number bets, with a 16% casino advantage.
The big difference between keno and the lottery is that you have more ways to play in keno, and keno offers more prize opportunities than the lottery.
The odds are still lousy, though.
Why does keno have the worst odds in the casino, though?
The casinos claim that keno’s overhead is higher than that of any other casino game.
Should You Play Keno Even Thought It Offers the Worst Odds in the Casino?
Some people love keno, and the game does have its advantages over other games. Palace casino reviews. For one thing, the pace of the game is glacial. You might see one drawing every 5 to 10 minutes, which means you’re only placing 6 to 12 bets per hour.
Contrast that with the average slot machine player, who makes 600 spins per hour.
Keno’s also a game that can be played in multiple places, but it’s especially a good game if you want to stay in action while you’re eating any of your 3 meals in a casino restaurant.
Also, it only costs $1 to play keno.
Most other games, excluding gambling machines like slots and video poker, cost a minimum of $5 per bet to play.
With the right mindset, playing keno is just fine. The slow pace of the game means you might lose less money playing keno all day than you’d lose in an hour or 2 at the craps table.
How to Play Keno
You can play keno from anywhere in the casino — even your hotel room. The keno results are broadcast on the casino’s television network. You’ll find keno tickets and crayons throughout the casino.
You’ll also find brochures that list the payouts for the game.
The casino also employs keno runners who will take your money and your ticket while you play. It’s polite to tip your keno runner regardless of whether you win.
A keno ticket has 80 numbers, 1-40 on the top and 41-80 on the bottom.
The computer chooses 20 numbers at random from between 1 and 80. In some casinos, you might still find a hopper with rubber balls, but computerized keno is more common. The winning numbers get displayed on TV screens throughout the casino.
You’ll win money based on how many of the numbers you picked were among the 20 numbers that were drawn during the game.
You’ll choose between 1 and 15 numbers on your ticket. The more numbers you choose, the more you need to get right to get a payout.
But you don’t need to get all 15 numbers — usually, if you choose 15 numbers, you need to catch 6 of them to win a payout.
If you choose 6 numbers, you’ll get enough of a payout for catching 3 numbers that you’ll break even.
But the casino also offers other kinds of ways to play your tickets, too — combination tickets, king numbers, and way tickets. They’re all just ways of playing multiple straight tickets using a single ticket, though.
An Example of a Keno Pay Table Explains What Casino Game Has the Worst Odds in Concrete
Here’s an example of a keno paytable along with some analysis of the odds:
You choose 6 numbers for $1. The payouts look like this, based on how many numbers you catch:
- Catch 3 numbers, and you get a $1 payout.
- Catch 4 numbers, and you get a $5 payout.
- Get lucky enough to catch 5 numbers, and you get a $75 payout
- Finally, catch all 6 numbers, and you get a $2000 payout.
Sometimes the payable will include payouts for wagering $2, too, but the payouts are just doubled. You don’t get better odds just because you bet twice as much. (This is in marked contrast to video poker, by the way.)
Your expected return for a casino game is the payout multiplied by the probability of that payout. When you add all the possible payouts together, you get the payout percentage for the game.
You have an 8% probability of getting 3 numbers right when you choose 6 numbers. 8% X $1 = 8%
You have a 1% probability of getting 4 numbers right. That’s 1% X $5 = 5%.
You have a 0.06% probability of getting 5 numbers right. That’s 0.06% X $75 = 4.5%.
Finally, you have a 0.0125% probability of winning $2000. That’s 0.0125% X $2000 = 25%
8% + 5% + 4.5% + 25% = 42.5%, which is your expected return.
If you subtract the expected return from 100%, you get the house edge, which, in this case, is 57.5%.
What’s the Best Strategy for Improving the Terrible Keno Odds?
Strategy for keno is easy:
There is no strategy.
The only thing you can do is shop payables from one casino to another to find the casino offering the biggest payouts.
No matter what, though, the house edge is going to be at least 25% — you can count on that.
The problem is this:
People who are motivated enough to calculate the payout percentages for various casino games are usually too smart to play keno in the first place.
What’s your strategy?
Skip keno.
Or, if you decide to play, just take advantage of the slow pace of the game and enjoy daydreaming or whatever else it is you’re doing while you play.
Are the Odds in Video Keno Better?
Usually, when you contrast the video version of a casino game with its traditional version, the house edge is much higher on the traditional version. Video blackjack is a good example of this because most video blackjack games offer even money payouts on a blackjack, which increases the house edge by almost 3%.
Video keno is an exception because the house edge in video keno rarely exceeds 12%.
Here’s the problem, though:
With video keno, you’re probably playing at least 300 games per hour instead of 12 games per hour.
Your expected loss playing keno at 12 games per hour with a house edge of 25% looks like this:
$1 X 12 games X 25% = $3
You expect to lose $3 per hour playing traditional keno.
But with video keno, you’re looking at the following equation:
$1 X 300 games X 12% = $36
You expect to lose $36 per hour because you’re playing so many more hands per hour.
What Casino Game Has the Worst Odds? Conclusion — Keno
It’s easy to answer the question, what casino game has the worst odds?
It’s keno, with its house edge of between 25% and 60%.
This doesn’t make it the worst game in the casino, though. If you bring enough money to the casino, it won’t even matter.
The thing to remember about the question what casino game has the worst odds is this:
Multiple other factors affect how much money you lose over time playing a casino game — especially the rate at which you make bets per hour.
Here’s the thing about casino games:
They’re all rigged.
But not in the way you think they are.
I had an interesting argument with a friend of mine the other night. He’s a conspiracy theorist, through and through. I mean, he believes the earth is flat (for real).
He’s absolutely convinced that the results of casino games aren’t random at all. He thinks all the games are rigged so that you can’t win. The only exception, according to him, is craps. He said that it’s impossible to rig a pair of dice.
I tried to explain to him that the casinos don’t need to cheat on the outcomes because they’ve set the payout odds up in such a way that they have a mathematical edge that no one can beat in the long run. They do this by offering payout odds that aren’t as good as the odds of winning. Casino estrella tragamonedas gratis.
For example, if you were playing roulette and betting on black, and that bet paid off at even money, you’d break even in the long run if you had a 50% chance of winning.
But you don’t have a 50% chance of winning that bet. You only have a 47.37% probability of winning that bet, because there are 38 numbers on the wheel, and only 18 of them are black—not 19.
The House Edge in Casino Games
Casinos, gamblers, and writers quantify this advantage that the house experiences with a percentage called “the house edge.”
It’s the long-term average percentage of each bet that the casino expects to win because of this discrepancy between the odds of winning and the payout odds.
For example, if I say that the house edge in roulette is 5.26%, it means that you can expect to lose an average of $5.26 every time you place a $100 bet on a roulette spin.
The higher the house edge is for a game, the worse the odds are for the player. The lower the house edge is, the better the odds are for the player.
And to make things even more confusing, many games offer multiple bets, each of which has a different house edge. Craps is a good example of this. Some of the bets at the craps table are among the best odds in the casino, but many of them have some of the worst odds in the casino.
This post focuses exclusively on the worst odds in the casino. Please don’t place these bets unless you just hate money and love casinos.
Also, don’t worry about whether the outcomes to the games are rigged. They’re not, for the simple reason that they don’t need to be. The casinos make more money by offering honest games. If the games’ outcomes were rigged, no one would play them.
1- Keno Has a House Edge Close to 30%
Keno is a simple game of number-picking that closely resembles the lottery. It is, in fact, a privately run lottery hosted by the casino with drawings every few minutes. You choose between 9 and 15 numbers from 80 potential numbers.
The casino draws 20 balls from that same pool of 80 numbers. If enough of your numbers match the numbers that the casino drew, you win a prize. The more matches you have, the more your payout is.
If you know anything about the lottery, you know that the house edge is close to 50%. Keno, being a similar game, has a similar house edge. But it’s actually a better game than the lottery, with a house edge that can vary between 20% and 40%. The average seems to hover around 30%.
Players like keno because they can stay in action relatively constantly without risking much money. They also enjoy the possibility of winning a huge cash prize. The only other games in the casino which offer such a potentially big return on your bet are the slot machines.
But that roughly 30% house edge makes keno the game with the worst odds in the casino. Most of the other bets on most of the other games don’t even come close.
2- The Logo or Joker Bet on the Big Six Wheel Has a House Edge of about 24%
The Big Six Wheel is such an old-fashioned casino game that it’s not even available in most casinos anymore. It resembles a carnival game more than anything else. All the bets on the Big Six Wheel are lousy, but a bet on the logo/joker is usually the worst bet.
Here’s how the Big Six Wheel works:
Worst Casino Games
You have a vertical “wheel of fortune” with various dollar amounts on the wheel. Usually, you can bet on the following dollar amounts:
- $1
- $2
- $5
- $10
- $20
- The Joker
You bet a dollar on any of these amounts, and if the wheel lands on that amount, you win the prize. The probabilities of winning are, of course, determined by how many total stops are on the wheel and how many of those are the prize you bet on.
You might have 54 total stops on the wheel. If only one of those is the joker, then the probability of winning a bet on the joker is 1/54, or 53 to 1.
The payoff for that bet is usually 40 to 1.
That’s a huge discrepancy between your odds of winning and the payout for the bet, but what does it mean in terms of an average.
That’s easy to calculate, too.
Assume you bet $100 on 54 spins of the wheel, and assume you get statistically perfect results. You lose 53 times, for a total loss of $5300. You win once, for a total win of $4000. Your net loss is $1300.
Since you want an average loss per spin, you divide that net loss of $1300 by the 54 spins, and you find that you’ve lost an average of $24.07 per spin.
Since you were betting $100 per spin, you can say that the average loss is 24.07% of your bet.
That’s a huge house edge, making this bet an example of the 2nd worst odds in the casino.
The $5 bet and the $20 bet are almost as bad. The house edge on each of those is 22.22%.
Of course, some casinos have different versions of the Big Six Wheel with different prizes and different odds.
3- The 2-Face Domino Bet in Sic Bo Has a House Edge of 18.52%
Sic Bo is an Asian-themed dice game where you bet on the outcome of a roll of 3 dice. You can bet on various outcomes, like the total of the 3 dice, or whether the total is high or low. The house edge is high on almost all these bets, but the 2-face domino bet is usually the Sic Bo bet with the worst odds.
The 2-face domino bet is a wager on 2 specific numbers coming up on the dice. For example, you might place a 1-6 2-face domino bet. If one of the dice has a 1, while another has a 6, you win this bet.
If you place a 1-6 bet, any of the following outcomes would be winners:
- 1-6-1
- 1-6-2
- 1-6-3
- 1-6-4
- 1-6-5
- 1-6-6
It’s a horrible bet in the middle of a table full of mediocre and worse bets. The small and big bets are really the only Sic Bo bets worth making, and the house edge on those is 2.78%. That’s far from the worst in the casino, but that’s far and away the best bet on the Sic Bo table.
4- The Tie Bet in Casino War Has a House Edge of 18.65%
Casino War is one of the dumbest games in the casino. It’s literally just a gambling version of the kids’ game where you compare one card from each of you to see which one is higher. It’s also a lightning fast game, which means that you’ll lose more money faster because of the number of bets you’ll place per hour.
Most people just place a standard bet, which wins if the player’s card is higher than the dealer’s. It loses if the dealer’s card is higher. If there’s a tie, the player can surrender half his bet or go to war. If he goes to war, he places a 2nd bet, the dealer burns 3 cards, and then deals another card to both the player and herself. If the player then wins, he gets paid off, but only on that 2nd bet. The first bet is considered a push. If the player loses, he loses both bets.
It’s obvious where the house gets its edge in that situation, since the game would be 50/50 if the player didn’t have to place a 2nd bet for a chance to only win one unit.
But you also have the option to bet that the first 2 cards will tie. If you win that bet, the payoff is 10 to 1. The odds of a tie vary based on how many decks are in use. In a 6-deck game, the odds of a tie are about 12.5 to 1.
It’s silly to play Casino War to begin with.
But since the tie bet offers some of the worst odds in the casino, it’s even sillier to place that bet.
5- The “Any 7” Bet in Craps Has a House Edge of 16.67%
Some bets in craps are one-roll bets. The outcome of the next roll determines whether the bet wins or loses. The any 7 bet is one of these. It’s just a bet that the next roll of the dice will wind up with a total of 7.
This doesn’t sound like the worst bet in the world at first. After all, a 7 is the most likely total in craps. The odds of winning this bet are 5 to 1.
The problem is that the payoff for this bet is only 4 to 1.
Using the $100 bets on 6 perfect rolls of the dice method for calculating the house edge, you get the following results:
You lose $100 on 5 bets, for a total loss of $500. You win $400 on one bet, for a net loss of $100.
Divide $100 by 6 spins to get the average amount lost per roll, and you get $16.67.
Some of the bets at the craps table offer a house edge as low as 1.41%,
Why would you feel the need to place a bet where your average losses will be more than 10 times that?
Ignorance is the only excuse I can imagine.
6- Slot Machines Might Have a House Edge as High as 25%
Slot machines, unlike other casino games, make their house edge opaque. To calculate the house edge of a casino game, you need 2 pieces of information:
- The prize amount
- The probability of winning
On a slot machine, you have a list of prize amounts for the various reel combinations. It’s called the pay table.
What you lack are the probabilities of winning these prizes. It depends on the probability of getting any given symbol on the pay line, and that probability can be anything. The results on a slot machine spin are determined by a computer program called a random number generator (RNG).
It can be programmed to give one symbol a 1/10 probability, another symbol a 1/20 probability, and all the other symbols 1/8 probabilities. Or you could have an entirely different set of probabilities.
You can even have 2 slot machines with the same symbols and the same themes with entirely different probabilities attached to them. In other words, the machines might be identical on the surface, but one might have a house edge of 5% while the other has a house edge of 25%.
Most slot machines don’t have a house edge this high.
But it’s impossible for you to tell which slots have which house edge figures behind them.
Also, no other game in the casino plays as fast as slots. Remember how I said Casino War plays really fast? I was talking about 200 bets per hour, maybe.
But it’s not unusual to make 600 bets per hour on a slot machine.
![Worst Odds In Casino Worst Odds In Casino](https://www.bigonsports.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/casino-games-best-odds.jpg)
My advice to savvy gamblers who like their money is to avoid slot machines as much as possible.
7- The 5-Number Bet in American Roulette Has a House Edge of 7.89%
Roulette odds are some of the most mediocre in the house. A standard bet on an American roulette wheel has a house edge of 5.26%.
Worst Odds In A Casino
But one bet on the American roulette wheel has the distinction of offering a house edge even worse than that.
This is the 5-number bet.
It’s a bet that the ball will land on any of the following results:
- 0
- 00
- 1
- 2
- 3
The probability of winning that bet is 5/38.
If you placed $100 bets on that bet for 38 spins, you’d win 5 times, and you’d lose 33 times. That’s a loss of $3300.
The payoff is 6 to 1, so you’ll win $600 on 5 of those bets, for winnings of $3000.
Your net loss is $300.
Averaged out over 38 spins, that’s $7.89 lost per spin or 7.89%.
Most people shouldn’t bet on any of the bets at the American roulette table, but placing this bet is just silly. You might as well give the casino your money and let them kick you in the stomach while you’re at it.
Conclusion
It’s always interesting to look at subjects like the worst odds in the casino. It’s also important to remember that from a certain perspective, it doesn’t really matter how good or bad the odds are. If the house has any edge, no matter how small, the casino will eventually win all your money. You just need to play long enough, and they’ve got you. Dragon egg game.
But from the perspective of getting value for your money, which bets offer the worst odds versus which bets offer the best odds is a crucial question. It helps you decide where to put your money to get the best chance for a lot of entertainment in the casino for your money.
If you’re losing $230/hour instead of $8/hour, you’re probably not getting as much entertainment for your money. Understanding which bets offer the worst odds is the first step in getting to that smaller hourly loss amount.